It really all depends on your skill and the amount of time you have spent doing researching on the odds. But just let me say odds arn't everything. It's no fun if you don't take risks sometimes, after all they do pay off. Finishing 11th and 14th of 1500 is actually very good. I'd be happy with that. You can't expect to win them all or even get a decent finish every time. You could say luck helps but if you really know what you're doing you could play every hand and even win if you have terrible cards.